NCAA FOOTBALL FREEBIES
Saturday, 10/27
Central Michigan +5
Northwestern +3.5
Western Kentucky +3
Texas Tech +6
Syracuse +2.5
Utah State -20
Category: Free Picks & Advice
Logan’s Daily Free Picks
Sunday, 6/9/19 – 2-1 Freebies yesterday…Game of the Week goes off today as part of our 3-pack. Get the entire card for just $25 HERE. We are lights out this season in Games of the Week!
MLB:
SD -105
Hou -1.5 -100
LAD/SF Under 7.5
Saturday, 6/8/19 – Sorry for the absence of freebies of late, folks…been a ton going on over here! Best of luck!
MLB:
NYY/Cle Over 10
LAD -1.5 -125
Sea/LAA Under 9.5
Logan’s Tip of the Week
Week of 9/24/18 – 9/30/18:
To tease or not to tease in the NFL?
The betting public loves their teasers. Bringing two 7 point NFL favorites down to -1 each is just something many of us cannot resist. Sure, there are instances when a teaser makes some good sense. But, like the Hard Ways on a craps table, there is a reason why they are available to the betting public. People love them but the odds still favor the house. There is an old generality that winners cover in the NFL. Roughly 80% of winners cover their number long term in the NFL, so, let’s think about this. What do you tease most often? Most likely, you improve the chances a heavy favorite covers by lowering their spread to something under a field goal with the mentality that they just need to win by a typical increment like 3 or better. However, if you consider that around 4 out of every 5 winners in the NFL cover their spread anyway, is it really worth adding another team to the equation in a two-team teaser? If you like a team enough to win, chances are they will cover the spread. Essentially, you are betting that one of your two teased teams will be part of the 20% that does NOT cover in the NFL but still wins the game. Odd approach when you get right down to it. If both teams cover as the odds say they should, you would’ve gone 2-0 on individual bets on the two teams with their unaltered lines and made more than your 1 teaser win produced if you wagered the same amount. If you have good rationale why your specific teaser combo is worthwhile, by all means, but, in my experience, most teasers are slapped together so that you don’t have to lay 8 points with a defensive minded team that has trouble scoring or something of the sort. As always, plan ahead and think through your wagers. Good luck!
Firestone’s Tip of the Week
Week of 9/10/18 – 9/16/18
One mistake casual bettors make this time of year is playing WAY too many games. If you’re gambling just for the fun of it, you will never win! We preach money management skills here. Start looking early in the week. Watch your line moves and study your trends. On Saturday, DO NOT play 22 games. Pick 3-5. Don’t concentrate on time slots. On Sunday, 1-3 plays is ENOUGH! Play to win. Not to have fun.
Week of 8/21/18 – 8/27/18
The final two weeks of Pre-Season football are upon us. If you feel it to be extremely necessary to gamble on these such games be sure you know what each game means. Remember, week 3 is usually the week where teams play their starters the most, as sort of a dress rehearsal. Remember that totals are usually elevated because of this! In week 4, it’s the complete opposite. Most starters will not play. This is where you want to concentrate on players trying to make the team and any position battles teams are having. Historically this week has been VERY low scoring. Best of luck! September is almost here!!
Week of 8/13/18 – 8/19/18:
We have reached August, which in the baseball world can only mean one thing. The Dog days of summer are here! This is the time of year where baseball bettors often get confused on who are the contenders and who are the pretenders. It’s also the time of year when the key to winning a baseball bet often starts and ends with a team’s motivation. Who is fighting for a playoff spot? Who is fighting for a roster spot on next year’s team? Which teams have already packed it in? These are just a few of the late-season questions we take into consideration before making our picks.
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